Thread: Service play's 3/10/10

Dave Malinsky

REASON FOR PICK: 6* #624 NOTRE DAME over SETON HALL

Notre Dame was outstanding down the stretch by playing with tremendous chemistry and basketball savvy, and executing it all at a very slow tempo. Seton Hall is simply allergic to that, and vulnerable to having a major bout of coughing and sneezing off of the way that things got away last night. That sets this up well for us to raise the ante in a classic case of the style contrasts creating an easy win.

Mike Brey’s Fighting Irish beat the spread by a combined 65 points in that 5-0 ATS surge to close the season, with the only loss coming at Louisville in O.T., and quality wins over Pittsburgh and Connecticut at home and Georgetown and Marquette on the road. It shows how far off the markets are in terms of making the proper adjustments, and while Luke Harangody is back now, we do not believe that the chemistry will be disrupted – they know how their pieces best fit now, and if anything the confidence of having a healthy Harangody lets them know that the depth is there to make a serious run in this tourney.

Here is the key to this particular matchup. Notre Dame won while playing slow against some tough Big East teams that also like to play that way (Pittsburgh – Georgetown – Marquette). We can not over-state that. Now a methodical tempo is kryptonite with a small “k” for a Seton Hall squad that lacks superman abilities (with a small “s”). The Pirates can have their moments when getting out into the open court, but their lack of fundamentals and patience can make them a disaster when things slow down. They were an awful 2-11 ATS in regulation this season when neither they nor their opponents scored more than 80 points, and there could not be a worse preparation for facing the current Notre Dame style than those back-to-back track meets over Providence, wins by 92-80 and 109-106. Games like those allow a lot of bad habits to get fertilized, and that was absolutely the case in the latter stages on Tuesday night, when an all-out meltdown enabled Providence to come within a late missed triple of entirely erasing a 26-point deficit. The Friars scored 67 points in the second half, and if the gap in three point shooting was not so wide (they hit 25.0 percent; Seton Hall 50.0) the game might indeed have been theirs.

Bobby Gonzalez now has to find a way to shift his team into a lower gear in a heartbeat, and that is neither his specialty, nor that of his players. Over the course of 40 minutes they make the kind of bad plays that can be fully exploited by the much more fundamentally-sound squad, and a game that the oddsmakers have priced as a close one steadily breaks open.

HELMUT
Texas OVER 146
Wyoming UNDER 120

ROOT

2 plays left

NL ....you guessed it..Ok St

Perfect Play.......Texas

2-1 so far today

Mill G Town....W
VL........Sou Miss........W
Bill ...........Marq......L
Missed foul shots, twice, 19 secs & 3 secs

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

10* Washington St / Oregon 133

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"

Washington State closed out its season on a poor note, losing nine of its last 11 matchups. The poor play down the stretch left the Cougars with a mere 6-12 mark in conference action, which was only good enough for the ninth seed.

Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the number in four of Washington States last five overall; also in 10 of 18 vs. conference opponents.

The Cougars have also seen the total go "under" the number in both games they played this year after three or more consecutive losses; which of course means that after an extended period of poor play, Washington State picks up its play on the defensive end.

On the other side of the court: The Ducks only finished 7-11 in Pac-10 play this season, but the team did close out its regular season with three wins in its last four games.

Oregon has endured some struggles offensively this season, but for the most part the team has been mediocre, averaging 69.4 ppg, behind a solid 42.9 % shooting effort. However, the team has struggled from behind the arc, netting just 33.3 % of its three-point chances.

Oregon doesn't play to many "unders", but it has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of nine when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games played.

Bottom line: These teams closed out the regular season against each other and the matchup went to the Ducks. Oregon won both meetings this season, pushing its lead in the all-time series against Washington State to 156-122.

Neither team is explosive and I expect each to create offense through its defines; when taking all of the above into account, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!

Marc Lawrence

Cal Poly +2.5

We recommend a 3-unit play on Cal Poly.

Lenny Del Genio

Detroit +6.5

It's tough to say this after watching Utah dismantle the Bulls last night in Chicago, 132-108 as five-point chalk, but we don't like laying this many points with the Jazz on the road. Note that they are being asked to lay "a few more" points tonight and will be in the second night of back to backs. Also, prior to last night, the previous team Utah found itself as a road favorite was March 1st against the Clippers and they lost outright 108-104. The time before that they lost outright at Sacramento. So, that's two straight outright losses to teams well below the .500 mark on the road. Detroit has finally gotten healthy and hasn't played since Sunday when they upset the Rockets at home, 110-107 in OT. Let's not forget that they actually led Cleveland by as many as 21 points the game before that. So despite what the record shows, the Pistons are playing much better than you think. When these teams met in Utah back in November, the Jazz won by just three points. Detroit is our 20* Non-Conference Dog of the Month.

Tony George

Notre Dame -1.5

This is not because I am pissed SH blew a 29 point lead and beat me last night, it is because they played a grueling game, fouling out 2 starters, allowed over 100 point and scored a 100+ points. They are fatigued against a team with a road OT win over Marquette on Saturday and are DESPERATE for a win with an NCAA Tourney berth on the line here. Motivated and fired up against a team who played late in the evening who cannot make free throws when they count. Lay the short number. Play 1.5 Units Notre Dame.


Oregon -1

I like the Ducks in this play in game against bottom feeder Washington State. They have had a late season surge and an inperiled coach whom I think the players are playing hard for. While the Ducks finished strong, the Cougs finshed badly and only covered 3 out of 11 games down the stretch. I like the offense of Oregon better here and the guard play. Play 1 Unit on Oregon

ACCUSCORE (Went 0-6 yesterday)
Best Sides as of 6:15 p.m.
NCAA: SE Louisiana -1.5
NBA: Philadelphia +1.5
NHL: New Jersey -155
Best Totals as of 6:15 p.m.
NCAA: Grambling-Jackson State u132
NBA: NJN-Dallas u208.5
NHL: Carolina-Washington o6.5 -115

Vegas Runner 3/10 BigSlick TODAY!

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Wed, 03/10/10 - 3:00 PM
double-dime bet 629 Nebraska 11.0 (-110) Bodog vs 630 Missouri CBB 2* PERSONAL PLAY


vegas-runner | NBA Total Wed, 03/10/10 - 8:35 PM
double-dime bet 615 NYK / 616 SAN Over 207.0 BetUS
NBA 2* LATE STEAM **

vegas-runner | NBA Sides Wed, 03/10/10 - 8:05 PM
double-dime bet 610 MIN 8.0 (-110) Bodog vs 609 DEN
NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
vegas-runner | CBB Sides Wed, 03/10/10 - 7:00 PM
double-dime bet 623 Seton Hall 2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 624 NotreDame
CBB 2* PERSONAL PLAY

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Wed, 03/10/10 - 7:00 PM
triple-dime bet 631 Oklahoma 7.0 (-110) Bodog vs 632 Oklahoma St.
*** CBB 3* BOOKIE BET...CONFIRMED "BIG SLICK" by BOOKIE BILL ***

Billy Walters

Quinnipiac
Under Sam Houston
Under Morgan St

ANDRE GOMES
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 601 Charlotte Bobcats ML @1.91 on the greek

SPORTS UNLIMITED Marco D'Angelo

5*cincinnati +6
4*oklahoma +7,5
5*new york/ san antonio over 208

EXECUTIVE
400% Cal Irvine -2 over Cal Poly
250% Seton Hall +2.5

the sportsboss

3 star clippers +10

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
*200 Memphis Grizzlies +5
*200 Utah Jazz -6

Trey Scott of HandicappingTrends
*200 Texas -9 (CBB)
*200 Tulsa -14 (CBB)

nite all,,, gotta run, bol


THE PARLAY KING
ALL 5 STAR

louisville-6

utah -6


PARLAY

UTAH-6
LOUISVILLE-6
DENVER-8